Owner value as the North Star

More value from better business decisions.

Financial thinking for practical decisions.

Saurea works as an interpreter between theory and practice: the same route is walked down layer by layer, and every step is grounded in numbers.

Same direction.
A brighter tomorrow.
The map

The whole journey at a glance.

This is the map of the whole thing. It repeats along the page, so you always know where you are and how each part fits the whole. The phases are the same as at a doctor's or a repair shop: first the diagnosis, then the research and the treatment plan — and finally continuous check-up.

Diagnosis
DATAIllustrating the mechanism, financial statements, the company's exact figures, reconciliation
MODELING THE CURRENT STATELayers: Gordon × DuPont · P&L · Balance sheet · Cash flow · Cash forecast — at the scope you choose: whole company → split into parts
Treatment
ANALYSIS & RESEARCHScenarios, sensitivities, alternatives — what should change?
DECISIONSThe treatment plan: target state and actions
Check-up
FOLLOW-UPContinuous check-up — is the course holding? Learning returns to the model
a continuous loop — from follow-up back to modeling the current state ⟲
Foreword

An interpreter between theory and practice.

Saurea's aim is to act as the entrepreneur's interpreter between theory and practice — in management accounting, through numbers. The framework builds on established principles of economics, and its explained variable is owner value: which practical actions grow it the most.

We start from the highest concept and drill down layer by layer — always covering one layer's concepts before moving to the next.

Hence the North Star: in a complex world no one can offer perfectly clear, absolute truths about where to head. What can be offered is a clear direction — helping you make decisions that, in the big picture, are very likely to steer toward the right goal.

DataModelingAnalysisDecisionsFollow-up
Layer 1 · Gordon

The company's task is to maximise owner value.

Gordon condensed it into a formula where NI is the current net income per year, r is the investors' required return and g the assumed growth rate. Holding everything else constant, owner value grows when income grows, risk falls or growth speeds up. Decisions should rest on these.

Note: even if income grows, owner value can still fall — if the company becomes riskier and less stable at the same time, its valuation multiple drops.

V = NI / (r − g)The inverse of the denominator (r − g) is the valuation multiple:
income × multiple = owner value
Income €120,000/yr× Multiple 5 (r − g = 20%)= €600,000
DataModelingAnalysisDecisionsFollow-up
Layer 2 · Gordon × DuPont

Income comes from two levers: margin and turnover.

When Gordon's formula is opened up with DuPont's equation, net income splits into parts: margin (NI ÷ sales), capital turnover (sales ÷ assets) and the amount of capital. If margin improves even a little with everything else constant, value grows. If sales grow so that income grows in euros even slightly, value grows again.

But: if margins fall sharply while turnover improves sharply, the company becomes more sensitive to market price changes — the valuation multiple can drop and take more from the whole than capital efficiency brought. That is why every decision is also judged through the multiple.

V = NI/S × S/A × A / (r − g)S = sales · A = assets
Margin NI ÷ S× Turnover S ÷ A× Assets A= NI
DataModelingAnalysisDecisionsFollow-up
Layer 3 · Contribution-margin P&L

The structure of profitability — from numbers you can trust.

Now the previous layer is broken into pieces. Actual figures come from the accounting, and first we make sure they can be trusted at the monthly level. What matters is knowing revenue, variable costs and the contribution margin as their difference, fixed costs — and, if you want more precision, how each cost behaves.

The balance sheet is not yet fully included at this layer. That is why Gordon × DuPont stays synchronised in the background: it reminds us to judge each decision's total effect — including the multiple — and to ask whether the current capital base supports this level of income or becomes a constraint on growth.

You can try exactly this layer with our free tool — adjust the numbers and watch the effect on profit and value instantly.

Revenue€100,000
− Variable costs€55,000
= Margin€45,000
− Fixed costs€30,000
= Profit€15,000 /mo
DataModelingAnalysisDecisionsFollow-up
Layer 4 · Balance-sheet forecast

How much capital does the business tie up?

On top of the previous layers we model a forecast of the capital the operations tie up: how much more fixed assets and working capital will be needed. This makes it easier to judge the feasibility of scenarios and their total effect on owner value. The focus is on the assets side of the balance sheet — the capital structure is left aside here.

This layer also shows the power of cleaning the balance sheet: when tied-up capital shrinks, cash is released — to pay down loans, to distribute to owners, or best of all to reinvest in an even more efficient company. Collect receivables faster? Negotiate longer payment terms on purchases? Speed up inventory turnover?

A Lean note: if shrinking inventory starts to disrupt deliveries, don't just add stock back — a large inventory is the worst form of waste, because it hides the other inefficiencies and ties up capital. Try the working-capital impact calculator (in Finnish).

Receivables+ Inventory Payables= Working capital
Working capital+ Fixed assets= Capital employed
Released capital → cash → loans paid down · distributed to owners · reinvested in a more efficient company
DataModelingAnalysisDecisionsFollow-up
Layer 5 · Cash flow forecast

Where the money really came from — and where it went.

From the previous layers we derive a rough-level operating cash flow forecast. Planned investments are recorded here too, which reveals the investing cash flow and free cash flow — and finally the financing cash flow: loan drawdowns and repayments, plus possible returns and injections of capital.

A good profit does not yet mean good cash — this layer shows the difference.

Operating cash flowprofit ± change in working capital
− ↓
Investing cash flowplanned investments
= ↓
Free cash flowdistributable or for growth
± ↓
Financing cash flowloans, repayments, returns of capital
= ↓
Change in cash
DataModelingAnalysisDecisionsFollow-up
Layer 6 · Short cash forecast

A precise two-week view, when it matters.

Finally, a short cash forecast can be made, recording upcoming income and payments precisely — for example two weeks ahead. Its importance is greatest in a cash crisis. It does not need to be synchronised with the rest of the model; it is its own fast tool.

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incomepayments
DataModelingAnalysisDecisionsFollow-up
Modeling scope

The same model at every level — at the precision you choose.

Modeling starts with the whole company and is then split by business line, by site, by product — as far as the numbers point. Every piece carries the same layers. At the same time, areas of responsibility become measurable: that motivates, and good lessons can spread across the organisation.

Whole company

Gordon × DuPont
+ P&L
+ Balance sheet
+ Cash flow
+ Cash forecast

By business line

Gordon × DuPont
+ P&L
+ Balance sheet
+ Cash flow
+ Cash forecast

By site

Gordon × DuPont
+ P&L
+ Balance sheet
+ Cash flow
+ Cash forecast

…and further by product, by customer or by person, when the higher-level numbers point there.

Level / monthJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTOTAL
G × DuPont
P&L
Balance sheet
Cash flow
Cash forecast

Months and the full year in one grid — every row is the same logic from a different angle. You see both the level and the direction.

DataModelingAnalysisDecisionsFollow-up
The loop

From current state to target state — and follow-up holds the course.

Once the current state is modeled and the numbers can be trusted, the diagnosis is ready. Then comes the analysis and research phase: exploring changes and scenarios — for example with sensitivity tables where a sensible explained variable, such as operating profit, is chosen. From it come the decisions and the treatment plan: the target state and the actions. And then continuous check-up — the follow-up: it tells whether the course is holding, and returns the learning to modeling the current state. The loop never ends.

CURRENT STATEthe diagnosis — where we are now
ANALYSIS & RESEARCHscenarios · sensitivities · alternatives
DECISIONSthe treatment plan — target state and actions
FOLLOW-UPcontinuous check-up
the learning returns to modeling the current state ⟲
Free tool

See the thinking in action.

Business Value Visualizer is our free, jargon-free tool that models exactly these layers: the contribution-margin P&L, value through the multiple, and the impact of working capital. Adjust the numbers and see the effect instantly.

Business Value Visualizer — free tool by Saurea

What-if scenarios, sensitivity heatmaps, value elasticity, an A/B comparison and a working-capital impact calculator — the same economic logic Saurea uses in advisory, in an interactive form anyone can explore. No sign-up, no cost.

Works in English and Finnish · businessvaluevisualizer.com

Advisory

Where Saurea helps.

Profitability

How much profit does the business produce?

  • Price
  • Volume
  • Mix
  • Variable costs
  • Fixed costs
  • Customer / product / project economics

Capital efficiency

How much capital is required to produce that result?

  • Working capital
  • Receivables
  • Inventory
  • Payables
  • Fixed assets
  • Capacity utilisation

Decision support

What changes when management considers a real decision?

  • Pricing decisions
  • Investment decisions
  • Cost changes
  • Hiring and capacity
  • What-if scenarios

Management system

How do people stay aligned with owner value?

  • Metrics
  • Targets
  • Dashboards
  • Incentives
  • Review rhythm

Want to know what your business should improve next?

Let's look at the numbers, the logic behind them and the decisions they should support.

Teemu Holmi · +358 50 573 2959 · teemu.p.holmi@gmail.com

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